Multifeature Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on GCN-LSTM

被引:2
|
作者
Chen, Houhe [1 ]
Zhu, Mingyang [1 ]
Hu, Xiao [1 ]
Wang, Jiarui [2 ]
Sun, Yong [3 ]
Yang, Jinduo [1 ]
Li, Baoju [3 ]
Meng, Xiangdong [2 ]
机构
[1] Northeast Elect Power Univ, Jilin 132000, Peoples R China
[2] State Grid Jilin Elect Power Res Inst, Changchun 130000, Peoples R China
[3] State Grid Jilinsheng Elect Power Supply Co, Changchun 130000, Peoples R China
关键词
Carbon targets - Convolutional networks - Energy demands - Forecasting methods - Memory network - Multifeatures - Multiple factors - Power - Power load forecasting - Short term load forecasting;
D O I
10.1155/2023/8846554
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
With the construction of a new-type power system under the China "double carbon" target and the increasing diversification of the energy demand on the user side, the short-term load forecasting of the power system is facing new challenges. To fully exploit the massive information contained in data, based on the graph convolutional network (GCN) and long short-term memory network (LSTM), this paper presents a new short-term load forecasting method for power systems considering multiple factors. The Spearman rank correlation coefficient was used to analyse the correlation between load and meteorological factors, and a model including meteorology, dates, and regions was established. Secondly, GCN and LSTM are jointly used to extract the spatial and temporal characteristics of massive data, respectively, and finally achieve short-term power load prediction. Historical electrical load data from 2020 to 2022 public data of a real industrial park in southern China were selected to verify the validity of the proposed method from the aspects of forecasting accuracy, feature dimension, and training time.
引用
收藏
页数:10
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