Adaptation of selected aspects of deterministic chaos for long-term forecasts of peak power demand for Poland

The paper presents an innovative technique of constructing long-term forecasts of peak power demand and gross electrical energy demand for an entire country on the example of Poland. The method is based on the Canonical Distribution of the Vector of Random Variables Model (CDVRM). The study also focuses on the problem of choosing the optimum explanatory variables scenarios for forecasting models. The concept of using elements of the deterministic chaos theory based on Pregogine's logistic equation has also been described. The ideas discussed have been verified in the process of making long-term forecasts for Poland up to the year 2040.