The purpose of this paper is to examine the behavior of real bilateral exchange rates for major currencies and test the hypothesis of real uncovered interest parity with risk premia, and forward looking expectations. It is plausible that the hypothesis of rational expectations cannot be rejected given the unit root nonstationarity of real exchange rates but it is not unlikely that unit root nonstationarity may be due to rational expectations in foreign exchange markets.
机构:
School of Economics, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW 2522, Northfields Ave.School of Economics, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW 2522, Northfields Ave.