Autocovariance estimation in the presence of changepoints

被引:0
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作者
Colin Gallagher
Rebecca Killick
Robert Lund
Xueheng Shi
机构
[1] Clemson University,School of Mathematics and Statistics
[2] Lancaster University,Department of Mathematics and Statistics
[3] University of California,Department of Statistics
[4] Santa Cruz,undefined
关键词
Autoregression; Differencing; Robustness; Rolling Windows; Segmentation; Yule-Walker Estimates;
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摘要
This article studies estimation of a stationary autocovariance structure in the presence of an unknown number of mean shifts. Here, a Yule–Walker moment estimator for the autoregressive parameters in a dependent time series contaminated by mean shift changepoints is proposed and studied. The estimator is based on first order differences of the series and is proven consistent and asymptotically normal when the number of changepoints m and the series length N satisfy m/N→0\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$m/N \rightarrow 0$$\end{document} as N→∞\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$N \rightarrow \infty$$\end{document}.
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页码:1021 / 1040
页数:19
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