A Prediction of the Peak Sunspot Number for Solar Cycle 23

被引：0
|
作者：
Khaled H. Bounar
Edward W. Cliver
Valentín Boriakoff
机构：
[1] Radex,
[2] Inc.,undefined
[3] Air Force Research Laboratory,undefined
来源：
Solar Physics | 1997年 / 176卷
关键词：
Solar Cycle; Sunspot Number; Solar Minimum; Sunspot Minimum; Precursor Technique;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
We use a precursor technique based on the geomagneticaa index during the decline (last 30%) of solar cycle 22 to predict a peak sunspot number of 158 (± 18) for cycle 23, under the assumption that solar minimum occurred in May 1996. This method appears to be as reliable as those that require a year of data surrounding the geomagnetic minimum, which typically follows the smoothed sunspot minimum by about six months.
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页码：211 / 216
页数：5
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