A Prediction of the Peak Sunspot Number for Solar Cycle 23

被引：0
|
作者：
Khaled H. Bounar
Edward W. Cliver
Valentín Boriakoff
机构：
[1] Radex,
[2] Inc.,undefined
[3] Air Force Research Laboratory,undefined
来源：
Solar Physics | 1997年 / 176卷
关键词：
Solar Cycle; Sunspot Number; Solar Minimum; Sunspot Minimum; Precursor Technique;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
We use a precursor technique based on the geomagneticaa index during the decline (last 30%) of solar cycle 22 to predict a peak sunspot number of 158 (± 18) for cycle 23, under the assumption that solar minimum occurred in May 1996. This method appears to be as reliable as those that require a year of data surrounding the geomagnetic minimum, which typically follows the smoothed sunspot minimum by about six months.
引用
收藏
页码：211 / 216
页数：5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [11] Prediction of Solar Cycle 24 Using Sunspot Number near the Cycle Minimum
    Pishkalo, Mykola I.
    SOLAR PHYSICS, 2014, 289 (05) : 1815 - 1829
  • [12] Variation of solar oscillation frequencies in solar cycle 23 and their relation to sunspot area and number
    Jain, R.
    Tripathy, S. C.
    Watson, F. T.
    Fletcher, L.
    Jain, K.
    Hill, F.
    ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS, 2012, 545
  • [13] A method for the prediction of relative sunspot number for the remainder of a progressing cycle with application to cycle 23
    Li, K.J.
    Zhan, L.S.
    Wang, J.X.
    Liu, X.H.
    Yun, H.S.
    Xiong, S.Y.
    Liang, H.F.
    Zhao, H.Z.
    Astronomy and Astrophysics, 1600, 392 (01): : 301 - 307
  • [14] A method for the prediction of relative sunspot number for the remainder of a progressing cycle with application to cycle 23
    Li, KJ
    Zhan, LS
    Wang, JX
    Liu, XH
    Yun, HS
    Xiong, SY
    Liang, HF
    Zhao, HZ
    ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS, 2002, 392 (01) : 301 - 307
  • [15] Prediction of the sunspot maximum of solar cycle 23 by extrapolation of spectral components
    R.P. Kane
    Solar Physics, 1999, 189 : 217 - 224
  • [16] Prediction of the sunspot maximum of solar cycle 23 by extrapolation of spectral components
    Kane, RP
    SOLAR PHYSICS, 1999, 189 (01) : 217 - 224
  • [17] Prediction of the amplitude of sunspot cycle 23
    Jain, R
    SOLAR PHYSICS, 1997, 176 (02) : 431 - 437
  • [18] Prediction of the Amplitude of Sunspot Cycle 23
    Rajmal Jain
    Solar Physics, 1997, 176 : 431 - 437
  • [19] PREDICTION OF THE MAXIMUM RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER OF SOLAR CYCLE-22
    WANG, JL
    TANG, BS
    ZHANG, GQ
    ACTA GEOPHYSICA SINICA, 1985, 28 (06): : 641 - 643
  • [20] Did predictions of the maximum sunspot number for solar cycle 23 come true?
    Kane, RP
    SOLAR PHYSICS, 2001, 202 (02) : 395 - 406
12345