Research on forecasting of China economy development during the twelfth five-year plan period

被引：0

作者：

Men Kepei ^{[1
]}

Zhao Kai ^{[1
]}

Zhu Shudan ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

来源：

PROCEEDINGS OF THE FOURTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF MODELLING AND SIMULATION (ICMS2011), VOL 1 | 2011年

关键词：

China economy; Grey modeling; grey model of LNDC; forecast;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

O29 [应用数学];

学科分类号：

070104 ;

摘要：

According to the latest statistical data of "China Statistical Yearbook-2010", this paper presents a new grey model of logarithmic new developed coefficient, practically analyzes and forecasts the GDP as well as other economic indexes of China during 2011-2015. The results show that (calculated by current price in 2010 without deducting the factors such as price rising,) Chinese GDP in 2011 will break RMB 45000 billion yuan at RMB 45014.3 billion yuan, and RMB 74551.1 billion yuan in 2015, which is 1.9 times of 2010's; the national economy will develop well during the twelfth five-year plan with GDP growing steadily at a rate of 13.4 % per year. The anticipated target of the twelfth five-year plan is expected to be realized smoothly.

引用

页码：147 / 151

页数：5

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