One Strike and You're out horizontal ellipsis Dictators' Fate in the Aftermath of Terrorism

被引：2

作者：

Adam, Antonis ^{[1
,2
]}

Tsavou, Evi ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Ioannina, Dept Econ, Ioannina 45110, Greece

[2] Hellen Open Univ, Dept Business Adm, Patras, Greece

来源：

DEFENCE AND PEACE ECONOMICS | 2022年 / 33卷 / 05期

关键词：

Terrorism; political survival; incumbent leaders; electoral autocracies; closed autocracies;

D O I：

10.1080/10242694.2020.1863139

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We use a cross-country dataset on terrorism and leadership survival from 1970 through 2015 to shed light on a leader's fate after terrorists' strike. We provide robust evidence that incumbents in electoral authoritarian regimes face an increased hazard of exit from political power. This is contrasted with the closed authoritarian dictators that remain intact. Moreover, we fail to find a robust effect of terrorism on a leader's survival probability in democracies. We conceive this effect to be due to the collapse of the elite coalition in autocracies after an attack, suggesting that the dictator's 'loyal friends' betray him in the aftermath of terrorism.

引用

页码：585 / 602

页数：18

共 39 条

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