Terrorism;
political survival;
incumbent leaders;
electoral autocracies;
closed autocracies;
D O I:
10.1080/10242694.2020.1863139
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
We use a cross-country dataset on terrorism and leadership survival from 1970 through 2015 to shed light on a leader's fate after terrorists' strike. We provide robust evidence that incumbents in electoral authoritarian regimes face an increased hazard of exit from political power. This is contrasted with the closed authoritarian dictators that remain intact. Moreover, we fail to find a robust effect of terrorism on a leader's survival probability in democracies. We conceive this effect to be due to the collapse of the elite coalition in autocracies after an attack, suggesting that the dictator's 'loyal friends' betray him in the aftermath of terrorism.
机构:
Northumbria Univ, Dept Social Work Educ & Community Wellbeing, B006,Coach Lane Campus West, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7XA, Tyne & Wear, EnglandNorthumbria Univ, Dept Social Work Educ & Community Wellbeing, B006,Coach Lane Campus West, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7XA, Tyne & Wear, England
Mulholland, Kirstin
Nichol, David
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机构:
Northumbria Univ, Dept Social Work Educ & Community Wellbeing, B006,Coach Lane Campus West, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7XA, Tyne & Wear, EnglandNorthumbria Univ, Dept Social Work Educ & Community Wellbeing, B006,Coach Lane Campus West, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7XA, Tyne & Wear, England
Nichol, David
Gillespie, Aidan
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机构:
Northumbria Univ, Dept Social Work Educ & Community Wellbeing, B006,Coach Lane Campus West, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7XA, Tyne & Wear, EnglandNorthumbria Univ, Dept Social Work Educ & Community Wellbeing, B006,Coach Lane Campus West, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7XA, Tyne & Wear, England
机构:
Rutgers State Univ, Sch Social Work, 120 Albany St,Tower One,Suite 200, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USARutgers State Univ, Sch Social Work, 120 Albany St,Tower One,Suite 200, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA
McCoyd, Judith L. M.
Curran, Laura
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Rutgers State Univ, Sch Social Work, 120 Albany St,Tower One,Suite 200, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USARutgers State Univ, Sch Social Work, 120 Albany St,Tower One,Suite 200, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA
Curran, Laura
Munch, Shari
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Rutgers State Univ, Sch Social Work, 120 Albany St,Tower One,Suite 200, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USARutgers State Univ, Sch Social Work, 120 Albany St,Tower One,Suite 200, New Brunswick, NJ 08901 USA
机构:
Educ Univ Hong Kong, Dept Early Childhood Educ, Tai Po, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaEduc Univ Hong Kong, Dept Early Childhood Educ, Tai Po, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Saltmarsh, Sue
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h-index:
机构:
Tualaulelei, Eseta
Ayre, Kay
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Edith Cowan Univ, Sch Educ, Early Childhood Studies, Perth, WA, AustraliaEduc Univ Hong Kong, Dept Early Childhood Educ, Tai Po, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Ayre, Kay
AUSTRALIAN EDUCATIONAL RESEARCHER,
2021,
48
(04):
: 771
-
794
机构:
Univ Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USAUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Lauber, Kendall
Odhiambo, Elijah Ochieng
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Nyanza Reprod Hlth Soc, Kisumu 40100, KenyaUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Odhiambo, Elijah Ochieng
Collins, Ben
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USAUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Collins, Ben
Gumbe, Edwin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Nyanza Reprod Hlth Soc, Kisumu 40100, Kenya
Nafasi Innovat, Tom Mboya, Kisumu 40100, KenyaUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Gumbe, Edwin
Norwitz, Gabriella A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Columbia Univ, Mailman Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidmiol, New York, NY 10032 USAUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Norwitz, Gabriella A.
Aloo, Teddy
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Nyanza Reprod Hlth Soc, Kisumu 40100, KenyaUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Aloo, Teddy
Lewis, Katherine A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Fielding Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Community Hlth Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Lewis, Katherine A.
Okutah, Felix
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Nyanza Reprod Hlth Soc, Kisumu 40100, KenyaUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Okutah, Felix
Amico, K. Rivet
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USAUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Amico, K. Rivet
Olango, Kennedy
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Men AIDS Youth Grp MAAYGO, Kisumu 40100, KenyaUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Olango, Kennedy
Odero, Wilson
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Maseno Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Sch Med, Kisumu 40100, KenyaUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Odero, Wilson
Graham, Susan M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Washington, Global Hlth Med & Epidemiol, Sch Med, Seattle, WA 98104 USAUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
Graham, Susan M.
Harper, Gary W.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USAUniv Michigan, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hlth Behav & Hlth Educ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA