In an increasingly competitive industry, tourism managers are faced with the necessity of estimating future values of demand in the short term despite the limitations of scarcity, volatility and uncertainty. A convenient and flexible approach such as judgemental forecasting holds promise in addressing the major issues in the field of tourism demand forecasting. This paper presents an innovative approach, which uses the opportunities offered by decision support systems to tackle the main issues associated with judgemental forecasting. A forecasting system that supports collaborative short-term forecasting tasks among tourism managers is offered as a case example.
机构:
Department of Civil Engineering, Kuwait University, PO Box 5969, Safat,13060, KuwaitDepartment of Civil Engineering, Kuwait University, PO Box 5969, Safat,13060, Kuwait
Al-Tabtabai, Hashem
Diekmann, James E.
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机构:
Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder,CO,80309, United StatesDepartment of Civil Engineering, Kuwait University, PO Box 5969, Safat,13060, Kuwait