Revisiting the Influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on Tropical Cyclone Activity

被引:78
|
作者
Camargo, Suzana J. [1 ]
Sobel, Adam H. [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Earth Inst, Palisades, NY 10964 USA
[2] Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA
[3] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA
关键词
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC; SEASONAL HURRICANE FREQUENCY; STRATOSPHERIC QBO; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; STATISTICAL PREDICTION; SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; MAXIMUM INTENSITY; NCEP REANALYSIS; SOLAR-CYCLE; ENSO;
D O I
10.1175/2010JCLI3575.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The statistical relationship between the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and tropical cyclone (TC) activity is explored, with a focus on the North Atlantic. Although there is a statistically significant relationship between the QBO and TCs in the Atlantic from the 1950s to the 1980s, as found by previous studies, that relationship is no longer present in later years. Several possibilities for this change are explored, including the interaction with ENSO, volcanoes, QBO decadal variability, and interactions with solar forcing. None provides a completely satisfying explanation. In the other basins, the relationship is weaker than in the Atlantic, even in the early record.
引用
收藏
页码:5810 / 5825
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] An active region quasi-biennial oscillation
    Szasz, C
    Kero, J
    Baranyi, T
    Györi, L
    Ludmány, A
    Mezö, G
    SOLAR VARIABILITY AS AN INPUT TO THE EARTH'S ENVIRONMENT, 2003, 535 : 153 - 155
  • [42] Role of tropical lower stratosphere winds in quasi-biennial oscillation disruptions
    Kang, Min-Jee
    Chun, Hye-Yeong
    Son, Seok-Woo
    Garcia, Rolando R.
    An, Soon-Il
    Park, Sang-Hun
    SCIENCE ADVANCES, 2022, 8 (27)
  • [43] Understanding the Mechanisms for Tropical Surface Impacts of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO)
    Garcia-Franco, Jorge L.
    Gray, Lesley J.
    Osprey, Scott
    Jaison, Aleena M.
    Chadwick, Robin
    Lin, Jonathan
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, 2023, 128 (15)
  • [44] Differences in the Tropical Convective Activities at the Opposite Phases of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation
    Lee, Jin-Haeng
    Kang, Min-Jee
    Chun, Hye-Yeong
    ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 55 (03) : 317 - 336
  • [45] The tropical route of quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) teleconnections in a climate model
    Garcia-Franco, Jorge L.
    Gray, Lesley J.
    Osprey, Scott
    Chadwick, Robin
    Martin, Zane
    WEATHER AND CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2022, 3 (03): : 825 - 844
  • [46] Differences in the Tropical Convective Activities at the Opposite Phases of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation
    Jin-Haeng Lee
    Min-Jee Kang
    Hye-Yeong Chun
    Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, 55 : 317 - 336
  • [47] Understanding the Mechanisms for Tropical Surface Impacts of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO)
    Garcia-Franco, Jorge L.
    Gray, Lesley J.
    Osprey, Scott
    Jaison, Aleena M.
    Chadwick, Robin
    Lin, Jonathan
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2023, 128 (15)
  • [48] The latitudinal structure of the quasi-biennial oscillation
    Haynes, PH
    QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 1998, 124 (552) : 2645 - 2670
  • [49] QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION IN ATMOSPHERIC OZONE
    OLTMANS, S
    LONDON, J
    TRANSACTIONS-AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 1972, 53 (11): : 998 - &
  • [50] Phase-space characteristics of the tropical stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation
    Wang, RS
    Fraedrich, K
    Pawson, S
    JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 1995, 52 (24) : 4482 - 4500