Revisiting the Influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on Tropical Cyclone Activity

被引:78
|
作者
Camargo, Suzana J. [1 ]
Sobel, Adam H. [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Earth Inst, Palisades, NY 10964 USA
[2] Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA
[3] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA
关键词
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC; SEASONAL HURRICANE FREQUENCY; STRATOSPHERIC QBO; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; STATISTICAL PREDICTION; SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; MAXIMUM INTENSITY; NCEP REANALYSIS; SOLAR-CYCLE; ENSO;
D O I
10.1175/2010JCLI3575.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The statistical relationship between the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and tropical cyclone (TC) activity is explored, with a focus on the North Atlantic. Although there is a statistically significant relationship between the QBO and TCs in the Atlantic from the 1950s to the 1980s, as found by previous studies, that relationship is no longer present in later years. Several possibilities for this change are explored, including the interaction with ENSO, volcanoes, QBO decadal variability, and interactions with solar forcing. None provides a completely satisfying explanation. In the other basins, the relationship is weaker than in the Atlantic, even in the early record.
引用
收藏
页码:5810 / 5825
页数:16
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