butterfly optimization algorithm;
electric energy consumption prediction;
long short-term memory network;
time series analysis;
transformation methods;
ENSEMBLE;
DEMAND;
MODEL;
MULTIVARIATE;
D O I:
10.3390/app112311263
中图分类号:
O6 [化学];
学科分类号:
0703 ;
摘要:
The Electric Energy Consumption Prediction (EECP) is a complex and important process in an intelligent energy management system and its importance has been increasing rapidly due to technological developments and human population growth. A reliable and accurate model for EECP is considered a key factor for an appropriate energy management policy. In recent periods, many artificial intelligence-based models have been developed to perform different simulation functions, engineering techniques, and optimal energy forecasting in order to predict future energy demands on the basis of historical data. In this article, a new metaheuristic based on a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network model is proposed for an effective EECP. After collecting data sequences from the Individual Household Electric Power Consumption (IHEPC) dataset and Appliances Load Prediction (AEP) dataset, data refinement is accomplished using min-max and standard transformation methods. Then, the LSTM network with Butterfly Optimization Algorithm (BOA) is developed for EECP. In this article, the BOA is used to select optimal hyperparametric values which precisely describe the EEC patterns and discover the time series dynamics in the energy domain. This extensive experiment conducted on the IHEPC and AEP datasets shows that the proposed model obtains a minimum error rate relative to the existing models.
机构:
Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R ChinaChangsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China
Zhao, Yifan
Li, Wei
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China
Xian Univ Architecture & Technol, State Key Lab Green Bldg Western China, Xian 710055, Peoples R ChinaChangsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China
Li, Wei
Zhang, Jili
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Dalian Univ Technol, Fac Infrastructure Engn, Dalian 116024, Peoples R ChinaChangsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China
Zhang, Jili
Jiang, Changwei
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R ChinaChangsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China
Jiang, Changwei
Chen, Siyu
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R ChinaChangsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Energy & Power Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China
机构:
State Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R ChinaState Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
Shi, Min
Xu, Ke
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Comp Network Informat Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaState Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
Xu, Ke
Wang, Jue
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Comp Network Informat Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaState Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
Wang, Jue
Yin, Rui
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
State Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R ChinaState Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
Yin, Rui
Wang, Tieqiang
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
State Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R ChinaState Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
Wang, Tieqiang
Yong, Taiyou
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Tianjin Hongyuan Huineng Technol Co Ltd, Tianjin, Peoples R ChinaState Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
Yong, Taiyou
Hongyuan, Tianjin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Tianjin Hongyuan Huineng Technol Co Ltd, Tianjin, Peoples R ChinaState Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
Hongyuan, Tianjin
PROCEEDINGS OF 2019 IEEE 3RD INTERNATIONAL ELECTRICAL AND ENERGY CONFERENCE (CIEEC),
2019,
: 2110
-
2116
机构:
Univ Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, SerbiaUniv Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia
Filipovic, Nemanja
Brdar, Sanja
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, SerbiaUniv Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia
Brdar, Sanja
Mimic, Gordan
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, SerbiaUniv Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia
Mimic, Gordan
Marko, Oskar
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, SerbiaUniv Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia
Marko, Oskar
Crnojevic, Vladimir
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, SerbiaUniv Novi Sad, BioSense Inst, Dr Zorana Djindjica 1, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia