This article tests whether the volatility of agricultural futures prices exhibits fractional integration. Volatility series were constructed for fourteen agricultural futures price series with over 5,300 observations per series. The volatility series exhibit strong long-term dependence, which is an indicator of fractional integration. A fractional integration model, FIGARCH(1, d,1), performs significantly better than a traditional volatility model, GARCH(1,1), in modeling agricultural futures price volatility.
机构:
Research Scholar, Finance and Accounting Area, FPM-5, FPM Hostel, Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Lucknow, 226013, Uttar PradeshResearch Scholar, Finance and Accounting Area, FPM-5, FPM Hostel, Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Lucknow, 226013, Uttar Pradesh
机构:
NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, Climate Impacts Grp, New York, NY 10025 USANASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, Climate Impacts Grp, New York, NY 10025 USA
Petherick, Anna
Rosenzweig, Cynthia
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NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, Climate Impacts Grp, New York, NY 10025 USANASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, Climate Impacts Grp, New York, NY 10025 USA
机构:
Peking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, China Ctr Econ Res, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaPeking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, China Ctr Econ Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
Huang, Wen
Huang, Zhuo
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机构:
Peking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, China Ctr Econ Res, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaPeking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, China Ctr Econ Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
Huang, Zhuo
Matei, Marius
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机构:
Univ Tasmania, Sch Econ & Finance, Hobart, Tas 7001, AustraliaPeking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, China Ctr Econ Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
Matei, Marius
Wang, Tianyi
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Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Res Ctr Appl Finance, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaPeking Univ, Natl Sch Dev, China Ctr Econ Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
Wang, Tianyi
ROMANIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC FORECASTING,
2012,
15
(04):
: 83
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103