Fractional integration in agricultural futures price volatilities

被引:41
|
作者
Jin, HJ [1 ]
Frechette, DL
机构
[1] N Dakota State Univ, Dept Agribusiness & Appl Econ, Fargo, ND 58105 USA
[2] Penn State Univ, Dept Agr Econ & Rural Sociol, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
关键词
conditional volatility; fractional integration; long-term memory; resealed range;
D O I
10.1111/j.0092-5853.2004.00589.x
中图分类号
F3 [农业经济];
学科分类号
0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;
摘要
This article tests whether the volatility of agricultural futures prices exhibits fractional integration. Volatility series were constructed for fourteen agricultural futures price series with over 5,300 observations per series. The volatility series exhibit strong long-term dependence, which is an indicator of fractional integration. A fractional integration model, FIGARCH(1, d,1), performs significantly better than a traditional volatility model, GARCH(1,1), in modeling agricultural futures price volatility.
引用
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页码:432 / 443
页数:12
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