Hybrid confidence intervals for informative uniform asymptotic inference after model selection

被引:3
|
作者
Mccloskey, A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Colorado, Dept Econ, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
关键词
Confidence interval; Lasso; Misspecification; Post-selection inference; Selective inference; Uniform asymptotics;
D O I
10.1093/biomet/asad023
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining techniques from the selective inference and post-selection inference literatures to yield a short confidence interval across a wide range of data realizations. I show that hybrid confidence intervals have correct asymptotic coverage, uniformly over a large class of probability distributions that do not bound scaled model parameters. I illustrate the use of these confidence intervals in the problem of inference after using the lasso objective function to select a regression model of interest and provide evidence of their desirable length and coverage properties in small samples via a set of Monte Carlo experiments that entail a variety of different data distributions as well as an empirical application to the predictors of diabetes disease progression.
引用
收藏
页码:109 / 127
页数:20
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