US-China agricultural trade and environmental outcomes: The case of nutrient runoff to the Gulf of Mexico

被引：0

作者：

Xu, Yuelu ^{[1
]}

Elbakidze, Levan ^{[2
]}

Gassman, Philip W. ^{[3
]}

Yen, Haw ^{[4
,5
]}

Ma, Yongxi ^{[6
]}

Hubbart, Jason A. ^{[7
]}

Arnold, Jeffery G. ^{[8
]}

机构：

[1] Manaaki Whenua Landcare Res, Auckland, New Zealand

[2] West Virginia Univ, Div Resource Econ & Management, Davis Coll Agr Nat Resources & Design, Agr Sci Bldg, Morgantown, WV 26506 USA

[3] Iowa State Univ, Ctr Agr & Rural Dev, Ames, IA USA

[4] Bayer US, Crop Sci, Chesterfield, MO USA

[5] Auburn Univ, Sch Forestry & Wildlife Sci, Auburn, AL USA

[6] Zhejiang Sci Tech Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Hangzhou, Peoples R China

[7] West Virginia Univ, Davis Coll Agr Nat Resources & Design, Morgantown, WV USA

[8] USDA ARS, Grassland Soil & Water Res Lab, Temple, TX USA

来源：

APPLIED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES AND POLICY | 2025年

基金：

美国国家科学基金会; 中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Agricultural production; Economic optimization; Nitrogen runoff; Trade friction; SPATIAL EQUILIBRIUM; PRICE ELASTICITIES; WATER; FOOD; COMMODITIES; BIOFUELS; INDUSTRY; POLICIES; IMPACTS; MODELS;

D O I：

10.1002/aepp.13501

中图分类号：

F3 [农业经济];

学科分类号：

0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;

摘要：

We quantify the relationship between nitrogen (N) runoff to the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. agricultural production, and exports to China using an integrated assessment model. We show that a 25% Chinese tariff on U.S. soybean and corn increases annual N runoff to the Gulf by 800 metric tons (0.2%) as soybean production in the Mississippi River Basin is displaced with more N-intensive crops. Results also indicate that reducing N runoff to the Gulf by 10% decreases U.S. corn export to China by 14.5%, similar to the effect of a 25% Chinese tariff on corn and soybeans.

引用

页数：20

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