EXPECTED UTILITY;
FUTURES;
HEDGING;
OPTIONS;
PRODUCTION UNCERTAINTY;
TRUNCATED DISTRIBUTIONS;
D O I:
10.2307/1242925
中图分类号:
F3 [农业经济];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
020205 ;
1203 ;
摘要:
The expected utility maximization problem is solved for producers with both price and production uncertainty who have access to both futures and options markets. Introduction of production uncertainty alters the optimal futures and options position and almost always makes it optimal for the producer to purchase put options and to underhedge on the futures market. Simulation results lend support to the practice of hedging the minimum expected yield on the futures market and hedging remaining expected production against downside price risk using put options. The results are strengthened if the producer expects local production to influence national prices and if risk aversion is higher at low income levels.
机构:
Penn State Univ, Dept Agr Econ & Rural Sociol, University Pk, PA 16802 USAPenn State Univ, Dept Agr Econ & Rural Sociol, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
机构:
Univ Toronto, Joseph L Rotman Sch Management, 105 St George St, Toronto, ON M5S 3E6, CanadaUniv Toronto, Joseph L Rotman Sch Management, 105 St George St, Toronto, ON M5S 3E6, Canada
Hull, John
White, Alan
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机构:
Univ Toronto, Joseph L Rotman Sch Management, 105 St George St, Toronto, ON M5S 3E6, CanadaUniv Toronto, Joseph L Rotman Sch Management, 105 St George St, Toronto, ON M5S 3E6, Canada