OPTIMAL EXPERIMENTAL-DESIGN FOR ANOTHERS ANALYSIS

被引:39
|
作者
ETZIONI, R [1 ]
KADANE, JB [1 ]
机构
[1] CARNEGIE MELLON UNIV, DEPT STAT, PITTSBURGH, PA 15213 USA
关键词
ADVERSARIAL DESIGN; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; CONJUGATE PRIOR; OPTIMAL ALLOCATION; POSTERIOR DISTRIBUTION; PREDICTIVE DISTRIBUTION;
D O I
10.2307/2291284
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider the optimal design of experiments in which estimation and design are performed by different parties. The parties are assumed to share similar goals, as reflected by a common loss function, but they may have different prior beliefs. After presenting a few motivating examples, we examine the problem of optimal sample size selection under a normal likelihood with constant cost per observation. We also consider the problem of optimal allocation for given overall sample sizes. We present results under both squared-error loss and a logarithmic utility, paying attention to the differences between one- and two-prior optimal designs. An asymmetric discrepancy measure features repeatedly in our development, and we question the extent of its role in optimal two-prior design.
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页码:1404 / 1411
页数:8
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