Emerging markets;
MENA capital markets;
State space models;
D O I:
10.1016/j.mulfin.2008.03.002
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
The relaxation of security laws and regulations in emerging markets in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) provides abundant opportunities for foreign investors. These markets exhibit high-expected returns and substantial volatility. In this paper, we investigate the lead/lag relationship between the MENA countries and regions. Wefindnomarket causality or spillover fromone country to another in the North Africa region. Our results for the Levant region reveal that there are linkages between stock markets in this region. The results for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region show that there is more interaction and linkage in the GCC region than in the North Africa and Levant regions. An unexpected result is that UAE's stock market leads all the markets in this region. Finally, we investigate linkages among the three regions. We find that GCC influences the other two regions. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机构:
Water & Wastewater Projects, Program Branch, Int Dev Res Ctr, Ottawa, ON K1G 3H9, CanadaWater & Wastewater Projects, Program Branch, Int Dev Res Ctr, Ottawa, ON K1G 3H9, Canada