This paper investigates causality-in-variance between the price of crude oil and the prices of refined oil products using US data. The cross-correlation function is applied on both normal and abnormal squared standardized residuals. We found that causality-in-variance has a lead from crude price to gasoline prices for not more than 2 days, and has a lag from gasoline to crude of not more than 2 days. In addition to the daily causality pattern, the monthly causality pattern reveals that the lead-invariance causation from crude price to refined products' prices and the lag-in-variance causation from refined products' prices to crude prices persist longer with abnormal squared shocks. These patterns suggest that market participants can advantageously adjust their positions within and across these markets.
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Cent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R ChinaCent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Wen, Fenghua
Xiao, Jihong
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Cent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R ChinaCent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Xiao, Jihong
Xia, Xiaohua
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Renmin Univ China, Sch Econ, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
Renmin Univ China, Inst Chinas Econ Reform & Dev, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Xia, Xiaohua
Chen, Bin
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Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Joint Lab Environm Simulat & Pollut Con, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Chen, Bin
Xiao, Zhengyan
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Renmin Univ China, Sch Stat, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaCent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
Xiao, Zhengyan
Li, Jinyi
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Jinan Univ, Sch Management, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R ChinaCent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China