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Solar geoengineering can alleviate climate change pressures on crop yields
被引:0
|作者:
Yuanchao Fan
Jerry Tjiputra
Helene Muri
Danica Lombardozzi
Chang-Eui Park
Shengjun Wu
David Keith
机构:
[1] NORCE Norwegian Research Centre and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research,Center for the Environment, Faculty of Arts and Sciences
[2] Harvard University,Industrial Ecology Programme, Department of Energy and Process Engineering
[3] Norwegian University of Science and Technology,Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory
[4] National Center for Atmospheric Research,Department of Environmental Planning, Graduate School of Environmental Studies
[5] Seoul National University,Three Gorges Research Center for Ecology and Environment, Chongqing Institute of Green and Intelligent Technology
[6] Chinese Academy of Sciences,John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences
[7] Harvard University,John F. Kennedy School of Government
[8] Harvard University,undefined
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摘要:
Solar geoengineering (SG) and CO2 emissions reduction can each alleviate anthropogenic climate change, but their impacts on food security are not yet fully understood. Using an advanced crop model within an Earth system model, we analysed the yield responses of six major crops to three SG technologies (SGs) and emissions reduction when they provide roughly the same reduction in radiative forcing and assume the same land use. We found sharply distinct yield responses to changes in radiation, moisture and CO2, but comparable significant cooling benefits for crop yields by all four methods. Overall, global yields increase ~10% under the three SGs and decrease 5% under emissions reduction, the latter primarily due to reduced CO2 fertilization, relative to business as usual by the late twenty-first century. Relative humidity dominates the hydrological effect on yields of rainfed crops, with little contribution from precipitation. The net insolation effect is negligible across all SGs, contrary to previous findings.
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页码:373 / 381
页数:8
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