Prediction of the Asian-Australian monsoon interannual variations with the Grid-Point atmospheric model of IAP LASG (GAMIL)

被引：0
|
作者：
Zhiwei Wu
Jianping Li
机构：
[1] Chinese Academy of Sciences,State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP)
[2] Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,undefined
来源：
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences | 2008年 / 25卷
关键词：
Asian-Australian monsoon; interannual variation; ENSO; atmospheric general circulation model; GAMIL;
D O I：
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中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Seasonal prediction of Asian-Australian monsoon (A-AM) precipitation is one of the most important and challenging tasks in climate prediction. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of Grid Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG (GAMIL) on retrospective prediction of the A-AM interannual variation (IAV), and determine to what extent GAMIL can capture the two major observed modes of A-AM rainfall IAV for the period 1979–2003. The first mode is associated with the turnabout of warming (cooling) in the Niño 3.4 region, whereas the second mode leads the warming/cooling by about one year, signaling precursory conditions for ENSO.
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页码：387 / 394
页数：7
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