Mathematical model of COVID-19 with comorbidity and controlling using non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination

被引:0
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作者
Parthasakha Das
Ranjit Kumar Upadhyay
Arvind Kumar Misra
Fathalla A. Rihan
Pritha Das
Dibakar Ghosh
机构
[1] Indian Institute of Engineering Science and Technology,Department of Mathematics
[2] Indian Institute of Technology (Indian School of Mines),Department of Mathematics and Computing
[3] Banaras Hindu University,Department of Mathematics, Institute of Science
[4] United Arab Emirates University Al Ain,Department of Mathematical Sciences
[5] Indian Statistical Institute,Physics and Applied Mathematics Unit
来源
Nonlinear Dynamics | 2021年 / 106卷
关键词
COVID-19; Comorbidity; Forward bifurcation; Shannon entropy; Optimal control;
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摘要
Pandemic is an unprecedented public health situation, especially for human beings with comorbidity. Vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions only remain extensive measures carrying a significant socioeconomic impact to defeating pandemic. Here, we formulate a mathematical model with comorbidity to study the transmission dynamics as well as an optimal control-based framework to diminish COVID-19. This encompasses modeling the dynamics of invaded population, parameter estimation of the model, study of qualitative dynamics, and optimal control problem for non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and vaccination events such that the cost of the combined measure is minimized. The investigation reveals that disease persists with the increase in exposed individuals having comorbidity in society. The extensive computational efforts show that mean fluctuations in the force of infection increase with corresponding entropy. This is a piece of evidence that the outbreak has reached a significant portion of the population. However, optimal control strategies with combined measures provide an assurance of effectively protecting our population from COVID-19 by minimizing social and economic costs.
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页码:1213 / 1227
页数:14
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