Deterministic Parameter Change Models in Continuous and Discrete Time

被引:3
|
作者
Chambers, Marcus J. [1 ]
Taylor, A. M. Robert [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Essex, Dept Econ, Colchester, Essex, England
[2] Univ Essex, Essex Business Sch, Wivenhoe Pk, Colchester CO4 3SQ, Essex, England
基金
英国经济与社会研究理事会;
关键词
Parameter change; continuous and discrete time; autoregression; trend break; unit root; persistence change; explosive bubbles; UNIT-ROOT TESTS; OIL-PRICE SHOCK; POSSIBLE BREAK; TREND FUNCTION; GREAT CRASH; BUBBLES; EXUBERANCE;
D O I
10.1111/jtsa.12456
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
We consider a model of deterministic one-time parameter change in a continuous time autoregressive model around a deterministic trend function. The exact discrete time analogue model is detailed and compared to corresponding parameter change models adopted in the discrete time literature. The relationships between the parameters in the continuous time model and the discrete time analogue model are also explored. Our results show that the discrete time models used in the literature can be justified by the corresponding continuous time model, with a only a minor modification needed for the (most likely) case where the changepoint does not coincide with one of the discrete time observation points. The implications of our results for a number of extant discrete time models and testing procedures are discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:134 / 145
页数:12
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