Long-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective study

Background The long-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is not well characterised. We assessed long-term outcomes and the associated risk factors of HBV-ACLF patients in southern China. Methods We retrospectively analysed clinical data, adverse events, and clinical endpoint events of HBV-ACLF patients treated at our department between January 2014 and December 2018. Results A total of 616 (52.3%) patients with cirrhosis and 561 (47.7%) patients without cirrhosis were included. In 973 (83%) patients, the disease was associated only with HBV, while 204 (17%) patients had two or more aetiological factors. The proportion of patients receiving antiviral treatment for HBV was low (20.3%). Further analyses indicated that patients without cirrhosis had a significantly lower 90-day liver transplantation-free mortality and higher 5-year survival rate than those with cirrhosis (59.5% vs. 27.6%; 62% vs. 36%; P < 0.05). Remarkably, self-withdrawal of nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) was an independent risk factor for short-term prognosis. Age, cirrhosis at admission, and platelet level were closely related to long-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. Conclusion The proportion of HBV-ACLF patients receiving antiviral treatment is very low in south China. Cirrhosis at admission has a significant effect on both short-term and long-term prognosis. No significant improvement in the short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients was observed compared with previous studies. More comprehensive access to antiviral treatment and long-term surveillance of HBV patients are key imperatives to reduce the incidence of HBV-ACLF and improve the prognosis.