Historical extreme rainfall events in southeastern Australia

被引:27
|
作者
Ashcroft, Linden [1 ,2 ]
Karoly, David J. [1 ,3 ]
Dowdy, Andrew J. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Parkville, Vic 3010, Australia
[2] Bur Meteorol, Docklands 3008, Australia
[3] CSIRO, Earth Syst & Climate Change Hub, Aspendale, Vic 3195, Australia
来源
关键词
Melbourne; Sydney; Adelaide; Extreme rainfall; Historical weather; 19th century climate; COOL-SEASON RAINFALL; EAST-COAST CYCLONES; SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; ENSO; TRENDS; TEMPERATURE; DRIVERS; INDEXES; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1016/j.wace.2019.100210
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The cities of Melbourne, Sydney and Adelaide are home to almost half of the Australian population, and are often exposed to extreme rainfall events and high year-to-year rainfall variability. However the majority of studies into rainfall in these cities, and southeastern Australia in general, are limited to the 20th century due to data availability. In this study we use rainfall data from a range of sources to examine four rainfall indices for Melbourne, Sydney and Adelaide for 1839-2017. We derive the total rainfall, number of raindays, wettest day of the month and the simple daily intensity index for each city over the past 178 years, and find relatively consistent relationships between all indices despite potential data quality issues associated with the historical data. We identify several extreme daily rainfall events in the pre-1900 period in Sydney and Melbourne that warrant further examination as they appear to be more extreme than anything in the modern record. We find a moderate and relatively stable relationship between El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and annual variations of total rainfall and the number of raindays at all three cities over the research period, but no relationship between ENSO and the annual wettest day, in agreement with other studies using shorter time series.
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页数:12
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