Immature platelet fraction as a predictor of platelet count recovery following allogeneic bone marrow

The immature platelet fraction (IPF) is a marker of increased platelet production. An increase in IPF is associated with increased marrow production; therefore, a subsequent increase in a bone marrow transplant recipient during the pancytopenic phase may correlate with platelet recovery and engraftment. We performed a retrospective cohort study and evaluated 32 patients who underwent allogeneic bone marrow transplantation. Patients had platelet count, neutrophil count, platelet transfusion and IPF recorded over a period extending from stem cell infusion, day 0, to day 30. The outcomes analysed were platelet count versus time and IPF versus time to establish the predictive ability of the IPF to determine platelet count recovery. Further analysis was performed to confirm the strength of the correlation and the sensitivity of the IPF in predicting a platelet count greater than 50 at day 30. The IPF was shown to rise 5 days prior to platelet count increase. An IPF rise was also shown to correlate with higher average platelet counts at day 30 of transplant. The utility of the IPF in predicting a platelet count of over 50 at day 30 was strongest between days 11 and 15 with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79. An IPF of 2.0 or above had 69% sensitivity and 85% specificity for predicting a platelet count of greater than 50 by day 30. In allogeneic bone marrow transplantation, the IPF is a reliable predictor of platelet recovery. The mean IPF between day 11 and day 15 is the most sensitive in predicting a robust platelet count of greater than 50 by day 30.