The increasing rate of global mean sea-level rise during 1993-2014

被引:0
|
作者
Chen, Xianyao [1 ,2 ]
Zhang, Xuebin [3 ]
Church, John A. [4 ]
Watson, Christopher S. [5 ]
King, Matt A. [5 ]
Monselesan, Didier [3 ]
Legresy, Benoit [3 ]
Harig, Christopher [6 ]
机构
[1] Ocean Univ China, Phys Oceanog Lab CIMST, Qingdao 266100, Peoples R China
[2] Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Qingdao 266100, Peoples R China
[3] CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Ctr Southern Hemisphere Oceans Res, Hobart, Tas 7000, Australia
[4] Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
[5] Univ Tasmania, Sch Land & Food, Discipline Geog & Spatial Sci, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia
[6] Univ Arizona, Dept Geosci, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
基金
澳大利亚研究理事会;
关键词
EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION; TREND; VARIABILITY; ACCELERATION; ENSEMBLE; SURFACE;
D O I
10.1038/NCLIMATE3325
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Global mean sea level (GMSL) has been rising at a faster rate during the satellite altimetry period (1993-2014) than previous decades, and is expected to accelerate further over the coming century(1). However, the accelerations observed over century and longer periods(2) have not been clearly detected in altimeter data spanning the past two decades(3-5). Here we show that the rise, from the sum of all observed contributions to GMSL, increases from 2.2 +/- 0.3 mm yr(-1) in 1993 to 3.3 +/- 0.3 mm yr(-1) in 2014. This is in approximate agreement with observed increase in GMSL rise, 2.4 +/- 0.2 mm yr(-1) (1993) to 2.9 +/- 0.3 mm yr(-1) (2014), from satellite observations that have been adjusted for small systematic drift, particularly affecting the first decade of satellite observations(6). The mass contributions to GMSL increase from about 50% in 1993 to 70% in 2014 with the largest, and statistically significant, increase coming from the contribution from the Greenland ice sheet, which is less than 5% of the GMSL rate during 1993 but more than 25% during 2014. The suggested acceleration and improved closure of the sea-level budget highlights the importance and urgency of mitigating climate change and formulating coastal adaption plans to mitigate the impacts of ongoing sea-level rise.
引用
收藏
页码:492 / +
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Kinematics of global mean thermosteric sea level during 1993-2019
    Iz, H. Baki
    JOURNAL OF GEODETIC SCIENCE, 2021, 11 (01) : 75 - 82
  • [42] MEAN SEA-LEVEL
    Henrici, E. O.
    GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL, 1911, 38 (06): : 605 - 606
  • [43] Mean Sea-level
    Henrich, E. O.
    GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL, 1912, 39 (05): : 503 - 503
  • [45] Sea-level rise and the North Sea
    O'Riordan, T
    GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL RISK, 2001, : 373 - 396
  • [46] Sea-level rise and the Sea of Japan
    Ikeda, S
    Kataoka, M
    GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL RISK, 2001, : 397 - 421
  • [47] Annual variation rate of global sea-level rise and the prediction for the 21st century
    Zheng Wenzhen
    Chen Zongyong
    Wang Deyuad and Chen Kuiying ( National Maine Data and loformation Service
    clean University of Qngdao
    Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 1996, (03) : 323 - 330
  • [48] Towards a global regionally varying allowance for sea-level rise
    Hunter, J. R.
    Church, J. A.
    White, N. J.
    Zhang, X.
    OCEAN ENGINEERING, 2013, 71 : 17 - 27
  • [49] Potential impacts of global sea-level rise on Canadian coasts
    Shaw, J
    Taylor, RB
    Solomon, S
    Christian, HA
    Forbes, DL
    CANADIAN GEOGRAPHER-GEOGRAPHE CANADIEN, 1998, 42 (04): : 365 - 379
  • [50] Global sea-level rise: weighing country responsibility and risk
    Hardy, R. Dean
    Nuse, Bryan L.
    CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2016, 137 (3-4) : 333 - 345