We study the geomagnetic activity Ap-index in relation to sunspot number and area for the interval covering Solar Cycles 17 to 24 (1932 - 2019), in view of the availability of data for the Ap-index from 1932 on, in order to predict the amplitude of Sunspot Cycle 25. We examine the statistical relationship between sunspot-maximum amplitude and Ap-index, and similarly that between sunspot area and Ap-index. We apply the chi(2)-test for the best fit between two parameters and obtain the correlation coefficient. We also derive the standard deviation for the error limits in the predicted results. Our study reveals that the amplitude of the Sunspot Cycle 25 is likely to be approximate to 100.21 +/- 15.06 and it may peak in April 2025 +/- 6.5 months. On the other hand, the sunspot area will have maximum amplitude approximate to 1110.62 +/- 186.87 1110.62 pm 186.87$\end{document} mu Hem and may peak in February 2025 +/- 5.8 months, which implies that Solar Cycle 25 will be weaker than or comparable to Solar Cycle 24. In view of our results as well as those of other investigators, we propose that the Sun is perhaps approaching a global minimum.
机构:
Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Penza, Valentina
Bertello, Luca
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Natl Solar Observ, 3665 Discovery Dr, Boulder, CO 80303 USAUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Bertello, Luca
Cantoresi, Matteo
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Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Cantoresi, Matteo
Criscuoli, Serena
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Natl Solar Observ, 3665 Discovery Dr, Boulder, CO 80303 USAUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Criscuoli, Serena
Berrilli, Francesco
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Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
机构:
Beihang Univ, Sch Space & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
Key Lab Space Environm Monitoring & Informat Proc, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaBeihang Univ, Sch Space & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
Guo, Wei
Jiang, Jie
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Beihang Univ, Sch Space & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
Key Lab Space Environm Monitoring & Informat Proc, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaBeihang Univ, Sch Space & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
Jiang, Jie
Wang, Jing-Xiu
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Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Astron & Space Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Astron Observ, Key Lab Solar Act, Beijing 100101, Peoples R ChinaBeihang Univ, Sch Space & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Penza, Valentina
Berrilli, Francesco
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Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Berrilli, Francesco
Bertello, Luca
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Natl Solar Observ, 3665 Discovery Dr, Boulder, CO 80303 USAUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Bertello, Luca
Cantoresi, Matteo
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Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy
Cantoresi, Matteo
Criscuoli, Serena
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h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Solar Observ, 3665 Discovery Dr, Boulder, CO 80303 USAUniv Roma Tor Vergata, Dipartimento Fis, Via Ric Sci 1, I-00133 Rome, Italy