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A tale of two volatilities: Sectoral uncertainty, growth, and asset prices
被引:9
|作者:
Segal, Gill
[1
]
机构:
[1] Univ N Carolina, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, 300 Kenan Dr, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
关键词:
Volatility;
Investment shocks;
Asset pricing;
Economic growth;
LONG-RUN;
CROSS-SECTION;
OPTIMAL INVESTMENT;
RISK;
CONSUMPTION;
RETURNS;
SHOCKS;
MODEL;
PREDICTABILITY;
EQUILIBRIUM;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.03.002
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
What is the impact of higher technological volatility on asset prices and macroeconomic aggregates? I find the answer hinges on its sectoral origin. Volatility that originates from the consumption (investment) sector drops (raises) macroeconomic growth rates and stock prices. Moreover, consumption (investment) sector's technological volatility has a positive (negative) market price of risk. I show that a quantitative two-sector DSGE model that features monopolistic power for firms and sticky prices, as well as early resolution of uncertainty, can explain the differential impact of sectoral volatilities on real and financial variables. In all, the sectoral decomposition of volatility can overturn the typical negative relation between aggregate volatility and economic activity. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:110 / 140
页数:31
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