The Diffusion of ISO9000 Certification in China: A Trend Analysis Based on Grey Verhulst Model

被引：2
|
作者：
Chen, Yongqing [1 ]
Liu, Erli [1 ]
机构：
[1] Guangxi Univ Nationalities, Coll Management, Nanning 530007, Peoples R China
来源：
2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION MANAGEMENT, INNOVATION MANAGEMENT AND INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING, VOL 1, PROCEEDINGS | 2009年
关键词：
China; grey Verhulst model; diffusion; ISO9000; standard;
D O I：
10.1109/ICIII.2009.61
中图分类号：
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号：
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要：
ISO9000 certification has become a worldwide phenomenon, spreading across all countries and regions of the world. It is a management innovation in nature for the organizations to introduce and implement ISO9000 standard, and diffusion path of ISO9000 standard can be described with S type curve. In the paper, we establish a grey Verhulst model for diffusion forecasting of ISO9000 certification by using the data of Chinese ISO9000 certification during 2001-2007. The results of model accuracy checking show that the grey Verhust model is very excellence and can serves as a tool to forecast the future diffusion trend of ISO9000 certification in China. By applying the grey Verhulst model, we find that the diffusion of Chinese ISO9000 certification will approach its absolute saturation point at year 2033 if no other measures are taken
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页码：223 / 226
页数：4
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