Global analysis of cyclone-induced compound precipitation and wind extreme events

被引:65
|
作者
Messmer, Martina [1 ]
Simmonds, Ian [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
来源
基金
瑞士国家科学基金会;
关键词
Compound extreme events; Extreme precipitation; Extreme wind; ERA5; Cyclone tracking and detection algorithms; Low-pressure systems; Global weather extremes; WARM CONVEYOR BELTS; LARGE-SCALE WIND; EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONES; ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS; EAST-COAST; TRACKING METHODS; HEAVY RAINFALL; VB CYCLONES; MODEL; WEATHER;
D O I
10.1016/j.wace.2021.100324
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Compound extremes, which involve extremes in two or more meteorological parameters, have received little attention until now. We present a new global climatology of compound events that involve extreme precipitation and extreme wind and that are triggered by low-pressure systems. The analysis employs the 3-hourly ERA5 reanalysis (1979-2018) and two independent cyclone detection and tracking algorithms, both of which provide a quasi-Lagrangian perspective. In the analysis, firstly, spatially large and coherent individual extremes in the accumulated precipitation and maximum 10-m wind gust fields are identified. Then cyclone tracks that have both an extreme precipitation and extreme wind event are considered as compound extremes, and these account for 2-3% of the total number of cyclones. The main areas where compound extremes occur depend on the season, but can be summarised as the regions over North America, Japan, the Mediterranean, Australia and regions with high tropical cyclone occurrence. In most of the compound events, either both extremes occur at the same time during the cyclone's lifespan or the precipitation extreme sets in earlier than the wind extreme. There is little difference between the geographic distributions of compound and single precipitation extremes, and a similar comment applies to the wind extremes. However, it is striking that the lifetime of cyclones involved in single precipitation extremes are 48% or 60% and single wind extremes are 64% or 82% of the duration of cyclones associated with compound extremes, depending on the tracking algorithm. The duration of single precipitation extremes is depending on the algorithm 48% or 53% as long as compound extremes, while this number is further reduced to 48% or 51% in wind extremes. This shows that the single precipitation extremes are proportional to the shorter cyclone lifetime, while the duration of wind extremes are disproportionally reduced with respect to the lifetime in single extremes, indicating that especially wind extremes in compound events can profit from the simultaneous presence of precipitation extremes.
引用
收藏
页数:14
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] A global quantification of compound precipitation and wind extremes
    Martius, Olivia
    Pfahl, Stephan
    Chevalier, Clement
    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2016, 43 (14) : 7709 - 7717
  • [22] Assessment of the tropical cyclone-induced risk on offshore wind turbines under climate change
    Wen, Zeguo
    Wang, Fuming
    Wan, Jing
    Wang, Yuzhen
    Yang, Fan
    Guo, Chengchao
    NATURAL HAZARDS, 2024, 120 (06) : 5811 - 5839
  • [23] Probability of induced extreme precipitation events in Central America due to tropical cyclone positions in the surrounding oceans
    Hidalgo, Hugo G.
    Alfaro, Eric J.
    Valverde, Kenneth T.
    Bazo, Juan
    NATURAL HAZARDS, 2023, 116 (03) : 2917 - 2933
  • [24] Probability of induced extreme precipitation events in Central America due to tropical cyclone positions in the surrounding oceans
    Hugo G. Hidalgo
    Eric J. Alfaro
    Kenneth T. Valverde
    Juan Bazo
    Natural Hazards, 2023, 116 : 2917 - 2933
  • [25] SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS
    KATZ, RW
    ACERO, JG
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 1994, 14 (09) : 985 - 999
  • [26] Global Estimate of Tropical Cyclone-Induced Diapycnal Mixing and Its Links to Climate Variability
    Cao, Yuan
    Wang, Xidong
    Shao, Caixia
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2022, 127 (01)
  • [27] Estimating tropical cyclone-induced wind, waves, and surge: A general methodology based on representative tracks
    Bakker, Tije M.
    Antolinez, Jose A. A.
    Leijnse, Tim W. B.
    Pearson, Stuart G.
    Giardino, Alessio
    COASTAL ENGINEERING, 2022, 176
  • [28] Estimation of Tropical Cyclone-Induced Wind, Rainfall, and Wave Multihazards for Selected Coastal Cities in China
    Wen, Sixiang
    Fang, Genshen
    Zhao, Lin
    Ge, Yaojun
    Chen, Xu
    JOURNAL OF STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING, 2025, 151 (05)
  • [29] Compound flood hazard assessment and analysis due to tropical cyclone-induced storm surges, waves and precipitation: a case study for coastal lowlands of Kelani river basin in Sri Lanka
    Wijetunge, J. J.
    Neluwala, N. G. P. B.
    NATURAL HAZARDS, 2023, 116 (03) : 3979 - 4007
  • [30] Compound flood hazard assessment and analysis due to tropical cyclone-induced storm surges, waves and precipitation: a case study for coastal lowlands of Kelani river basin in Sri Lanka
    J. J. Wijetunge
    N. G. P. B. Neluwala
    Natural Hazards, 2023, 116 : 3979 - 4007