Stochastic Modeling of Extreme Precipitation: a Regional Approach

被引：1
|
作者：
Bolgov, M. V. [1 ]
Filippova, I. A. [1 ]
Trubetskova, M. D. [1 ]
Osipova, N. V. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Russian Acad Sci, Water Problems Inst, Moscow 119333, Russia
来源：
WATER RESOURCES | 2019年 / 46卷 / SUPPL 2期
关键词：
maximum possible precipitation; truncation; security curve; threshold method; GEV-distribution; PROBABLE MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION;
D O I：
10.1134/S0097807819080025
中图分类号：
TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];
学科分类号：
081501 ;
摘要：
A generalized step-by-step statistical method for calculating the maximal precipitation sums of low probability is proposed. The method is applied to the case of daily precipitation for the Amur River basin. Refined statistical characteristics of maximum daily precipitation for the warm period are obtained. A map of daily precipitation of 1% exceedance probability is compiled over the territory of the Amur River. The obtained quantiles of the daily maximum precipitation are compared with probable maximum precipitation values obtained using WMO methodology.
引用
收藏
页码：S1 / S7
页数：7
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