Do OPEC announcements influence oil prices?

被引:55
|
作者
Loutia, Amine [1 ,2 ]
Mellios, Constantin [1 ,2 ]
Andriosopoulos, Kostas [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Paris 01, PRISM Sorbonne, 17 Pl Sorbonne, F-75231 Paris 05, France
[2] LabEx Financial Regulat, 17 Pl Sorbonne, F-75231 Paris 05, France
[3] ESCP Europe Business Sch, Res Ctr Energy Management, 527 Finchley Rd, London NW3 7BG, England
关键词
WTI crude oil; Brent crude oil; OPEC; Announcements; Event study; EGARCH; VOLATILITY; CARTEL; BEHAVIOR; EVENT; RETURNS; MARKET; CAPACITY; IMPACT; NEWS;
D O I
10.1016/j.enpol.2015.11.025
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper investigates the effect of OPEC production decisions (increase, cut, maintain) on both WTI and Brent crude oil prices between Q1 1991 and Q1 2015 by employing the event study methodology and by using two indices as benchmarks (BCI and S&P GSCI). We employ an EGARCH model to take into account the high volatility of oil prices and some stylized facts characterizing this volatility. We find that the impact of OPEC's announcements on oil prices (i)evolves over time and among decisions, (ii) is more significant for production cut and maintain, (iii) is different for WTI and Brent prices, and (iv) is sensitive to the benchmark index. Moreover, OPEC's decisions depend on the exploration and extraction cost of more expensive/unconventional oil resources. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
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页码:262 / 272
页数:11
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