A Stochastic Model for Piping Failure Frequency Analysis Using OPDE Data

被引:5
|
作者
Yuan, X. -X. [1 ]
Pandey, M. D. [2 ]
Riznic, J. [3 ]
机构
[1] Ryerson Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Toronto, ON M5B 2K3, Canada
[2] Univ Waterloo, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
[3] Canadian Nucl Safety Commiss, Stn B, Ottawa, ON K1P 5S9, Canada
关键词
PRESSURIZED-WATER-REACTORS; RUPTURE FREQUENCIES; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1115/1.3094027
中图分类号
TH [机械、仪表工业];
学科分类号
0802 ;
摘要
The accurate estimation of piping failure frequency is an important task to support the probabilistic risk assessment and risk-informed in-service inspection of nuclear power plants. Although probabilistic models have been reported in the literature to analyze the piping failure frequency, this paper proposes a stochastic point process model that incorporates both a time dependent trend and plant-specific (or cohort) effects on the failure rate. A likelihood based statistical method is proposed for estimating the model parameters. A case study is presented to analyze the Class 1 pipe failure data given in the OPDE Database. [DOI: 10.1115/1.3094027]
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 9
页数:9
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