PurposeThere are little data regarding the overall survival (OS) of patients without adjuvant systemic therapy, because most patients have been subject to standardized systemic therapies. We evaluated the baseline risk to facilitate making decisions about adjuvant therapy.Patients and methodsA total of 1835 breast cancer patients who did not receive adjuvant systemic therapy between 1964 and 1992 were retrospectively evaluated. We investigated the 10-year disease-free survival (DFS) and OS according to the number of metastatic lymph nodes, pathological T classification, stage, and estrogen receptor (ER) status.ResultsSurvival curves showed that as the number of metastatic lymph nodes, pathological T classification, and staging increased, the 10-year OS and DFS decreased. In univariate and multivariable analyses, the number of metastatic lymph nodes was significantly associated with the DFS and OS, while in a univariate analysis, the pathological T classification and stage were significantly associated with the DFS and OS. ER positivity was a good prognostic factor for the 5-year DFS. However, between 6 and 7 years after surgery, ER negativity was a better prognostic factor than ER positivity.ConclusionWe showed survival rates of patients without adjuvant therapy according to TNM classification and ER status. This information can aid in treatment selection for doctors and patients through a shared decision-making approach.
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Univ Calif San Francisco, Breast Oncol Clin Trials Programme, San Francisco, CA 94143 USAUniv Calif San Francisco, Breast Oncol Clin Trials Programme, San Francisco, CA 94143 USA
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Univ Vita Salute San Raffaele, San Raffaele Sci Inst IRCCS, Pancreas Translat & Clin Res Ctr, Dept Med Oncol, Milan, Italy
Univ Vita Salute San Raffaele, Pancreas Translat & ClinicalResearch Ctr, Dept Med Oncol, San Raffaele ScientificInstitute IRCCS, Via Olgettina 60, I-20132 Milan, ItalyUniv Vita Salute San Raffaele, San Raffaele Sci Inst IRCCS, Pancreas Translat & Clin Res Ctr, Dept Med Oncol, Milan, Italy
Reni, Michele
Macchini, Marina
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Univ Vita Salute San Raffaele, San Raffaele Sci Inst IRCCS, Pancreas Translat & Clin Res Ctr, Dept Med Oncol, Milan, ItalyUniv Vita Salute San Raffaele, San Raffaele Sci Inst IRCCS, Pancreas Translat & Clin Res Ctr, Dept Med Oncol, Milan, Italy
Macchini, Marina
Porcu, Luca
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Ist Ric Farmacolog Mario Negri IRCCS, Oncol Dept, Methodol Clin Res Lab, Milan, ItalyUniv Vita Salute San Raffaele, San Raffaele Sci Inst IRCCS, Pancreas Translat & Clin Res Ctr, Dept Med Oncol, Milan, Italy
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Karolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Herweijer, Eva
Wang, Jiangrong
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Karolinska Inst, Dept Lab Med, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Wang, Jiangrong
Hu, Kejia
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Karolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Hu, Kejia
Valdimarsdottir, Unnur A.
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Karolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Univ Iceland, Fac Med, Ctr Publ Hlth Sci, Reykjavik, Iceland
Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Boston, MA USAKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Valdimarsdottir, Unnur A.
Adami, Hans-Olov
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Karolinska Inst, Dept Med Epidemiol & Biostat, Stockholm, Sweden
Univ Oslo, Inst Hlth & Society, Clin Effectiveness Grp, Oslo, NorwayKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Adami, Hans-Olov
Sparen, Paer
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Karolinska Inst, Dept Med Epidemiol & Biostat, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Sparen, Paer
Sundstrom, Karin
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Karolinska Inst, Dept Lab Med, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Sundstrom, Karin
Fang, Fang
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Karolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
Karolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, SE-17177 Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Inst Environm Med, Stockholm, Sweden
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F Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Global Access, Grenzacherstr 124, CH-4070 Basel, SwitzerlandF Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Global Access, Grenzacherstr 124, CH-4070 Basel, Switzerland
Ramagopalan, Sreeram V.
Pisoni, Riccardo
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F Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Pharma Int Informat, Basel, SwitzerlandF Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Global Access, Grenzacherstr 124, CH-4070 Basel, Switzerland
Pisoni, Riccardo
Rathore, Lokendra Singh
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F Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Strateg Insights & Adv Analyt, Basel, SwitzerlandF Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Global Access, Grenzacherstr 124, CH-4070 Basel, Switzerland
Rathore, Lokendra Singh
Ray, Joshua
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F Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Global Access, Grenzacherstr 124, CH-4070 Basel, SwitzerlandF Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Global Access, Grenzacherstr 124, CH-4070 Basel, Switzerland
Ray, Joshua
Sammon, Cormac
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PHMR Ltd, London, EnglandF Hoffmann La Roche Ltd, Global Access, Grenzacherstr 124, CH-4070 Basel, Switzerland