Factors influencing the distribution of chironomids in lakes distributed along a latitudinal gradient in northwestern Quebec, Canada

The effect of 33 environmental variables on the distribution of chironomids was studied in 60 lakes of northwestern Quebec (Canada). A detrended canonical correspondence analysis detected linearity in the chironomid assemblages, thus redundancy analysis was used to identify the variables affecting the chironomid communities. Lake depth, dissolved organic carbon (DOC), mean August air temperature, and surface water temperature were the four variables that best explained the distribution of chironomids. Partial least squares analysis was used to develop new inference models. Among models, the one for mean August air temperature had the highest coefficient of determination (rG'(ST) = 0.67) and the lowest root mean square error of prediction (= 1.17 degrees C). The results indicated that for downcore temperature reconstructions, it might be hard to dissociate the combined effects of temperature, DOC, and depth. Changes in taxa such as Heterotrissocladius brundini-type, Heterotrissocladius subpilosus-type, Heterotrissocladius grimshawi-type, Micropsectra radialis-type, Tanytarsus lugens-type, and Microtendipes can be attributed to changes in lake depth and (or) temperature. Changes in Heterotanytarsus, Dicrotendipes, Cryptotendipes, and Cryptochironomus might be attributed to shifts in temperature and DOC. Relationships among temperature, DOC, and lake depth should be studied in a "neo-ecology" design to better understand their impact on chironomid assemblage composition.