Neural network based short-term load forecasting using weather compensation

被引：141
|
作者：
Chow, TWS
Leung, CT
机构：
[1] Department of Electronic Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon
来源：
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS | 1996年 / 11卷 / 04期
关键词：
short-term load forecasting; weather compensation neural network; nonlinear autoregressive integrated model;
D O I：
10.1109/59.544636
中图分类号：
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号：
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要：
This paper presents a novel technique for electric load forecasting based on neural weather compensation. Our proposed method is a nonlinear generalization of Box and Jenkins approach for nonstationary time-series prediction. A weather compensation neural network is implemented for one-day ahead electric load forecasting. Our weather compensation neural network can accurately predict the change of actual electric load consumption from the previous day. The results, based on Hong Kong Island historical load demand, indicate that this methodology is capable of providing a more accurate load forecast with a 0.9% reduction in forecast error.
引用
收藏
页码：1736 / 1742
页数：7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [11] Artificial neural network based short-term load forecasting
    Munkhjargal, S
    Manusov, VZ
    KORUS 2004, VOL 1, PROCEEDINGS, 2004, : 262 - 264
  • [12] Short-term load forecasting based on fuzzy neural network
    Wang, Cuiru
    Cui, Zhikun
    Chen, Qi
    IITA 2007: WORKSHOP ON INTELLIGENT INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION, PROCEEDINGS, 2007, : 335 - 338
  • [13] Short-term Load Forecasting Based on BP Neural Network
    Li Yan-bin
    Li Peng
    Li Guan-hong
    ICPOM2008: PROCEEDINGS OF 2008 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF PRODUCTION AND OPERATION MANAGEMENT, VOLUMES 1-3, 2008, : 1182 - 1186
  • [14] Short-term load forecasting based on fuzzy neural network
    DONG Liang
    MU Zhichun (Information Engineering School
    Journal of University of Science and Technology Beijing(English Edition), 1997, (03) : 46 - 48
  • [15] Short-term load forecasting based on weather information
    Feng, W
    Keng, YE
    Qi, LY
    Jun, L
    Shan, YC
    POWERCON '98: 1998 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON POWER SYSTEM TECHNOLOGY - PROCEEDINGS, VOLS 1 AND 2, 1998, : 572 - 575
  • [16] Application of weather sensitivity neural network model in short-term load forecasting on area
    He, R.
    Zeng, G.
    Yao, J.
    Qing, Z.
    Shen, X.
    Liu, M.
    Dianli Xitong Zidonghue/Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2001, 25 (17): : 32 - 35
  • [17] Back Propagation Neural Network for Short-term Electricity Load Forecasting with Weather Features
    Wang, Yong
    Gu, Dawu
    Xu, Jianping
    Li, Jing
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE AND NATURAL COMPUTING, VOL I, 2009, : 58 - +
  • [18] Short-Term Load Demand Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Network
    Adeyemi-Kayode, Temitope M.
    Orovwode, Hope E.
    Adoghe, Anthony U.
    Misra, Sanjay
    Agrawal, Akshat
    Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, 2023, 1001 LNEE : 165 - 177
  • [19] Short-term energy load forecasting using recurrent neural network
    Rashid, T
    Kechadi, T
    Huang, BQ
    Proceedings of the Eighth IASTED International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing, 2004, : 276 - 281
  • [20] Short-term load forecasting using general regression neural network
    Niu, DX
    Wang, HQ
    Gu, ZH
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2005 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MACHINE LEARNING AND CYBERNETICS, VOLS 1-9, 2005, : 4076 - 4082
12345