Theory of Grey Systems and its Application in Electric Load Forecasting

被引：0
|
作者：
Ji Peirong [1 ]
Chen Juan [1 ]
Zheng Wenchen [1 ]
机构：
[1] China Three Gorges Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Informat technol, Yichang 443002, Peoples R China
来源：
2008 IEEE CONFERENCE ON CYBERNETICS AND INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS, VOLS 1 AND 2 | 2008年
关键词：
grey system; GM(1,1) model; Unbiased GM(1,1) model; load forecasting;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号：
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要：
In this paper, the basic concept of the grey system theory and the modeling of the grey system are introduced briefly. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of GM(1,1) model, Unbiased GM(1,1) model is proposed here. The comparison of GM(1,1) model and unbiased GM(1,1) model is given, the results of comparison show that Unbiased GM(1,1) model is better than GM(1,1) model. In the final part of the paper, Unbiased GM(1,1) model is used to do electric load forecasting.
引用
收藏
页码：758 / 762
页数：5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Advances in grey systems theory and its applications
    Liu, Si-Feng
    Forrest, Jeffrey
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2007 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON GREY SYSTEMS AND INTELLIGENT SERVICES, VOLS 1 AND 2, 2007, : 1 - 6
  • [42] Application of grey Verhulst model in mid-long term load forecasting
    Fu, Yimu
    Liu, Xin
    Chang, Wenjing
    Xu, Lu
    Wang, Nan
    Gao, Shan
    Xu, Nan
    Yang, Jinghong
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2019 31ST CHINESE CONTROL AND DECISION CONFERENCE (CCDC 2019), 2019, : 5796 - 5803
  • [43] Credibility forecasting in short-term load forecasting and its application
    Li, Canbing
    Li, Yijing
    Cao, Yijia
    Ma, Jin
    Kuang, Yonghong
    Zhang, Zhikun
    Li, Lijuan
    Wei, Jing
    IET GENERATION TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION, 2015, 9 (13) : 1564 - 1571
  • [44] Electric annual peak load forecasting based on fuzzy systems
    Soliman, S. A.
    Al-Kandari, A. M.
    ENGINEERING INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS FOR ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING AND COMMUNICATIONS, 2006, 14 (03): : 169 - 175
  • [45] Electric Load Forecasting: A Multi-Agent Systems Approach
    Nejat, A.
    Mohsenian-Rad, H.
    2012 15TH INTERNATIONAL IEEE CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS (ITSC), 2012, : 863 - 869
  • [46] Electric annual peak load forecasting based on fuzzy systems
    Electrical Engineering Department, University of Qatar, PO Box 2713, Doha, Qatar
    不详
    Eng. Intell. Syst., 2006, 3 (169-176):
  • [47] THEORY OF THE TRANSIENT ELECTRIC BIREFRINGENCE RESPONSE AND ITS APPLICATION TO RELAXATION SYSTEMS
    TERAOKA, I
    HAYAKAWA, R
    JOURNAL OF CHEMICAL PHYSICS, 1990, 92 (12): : 7653 - 7660
  • [48] Fuzzy PID algorithm for feedforward neural network and its application in electric power system load forecasting
    Rong, Hui
    Zhang, Jishi
    Ma, Xinshan
    Diangong Jishu Xuebao/Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 13 (04): : 43 - 46
  • [49] Clifford Fuzzy Support Vector Machine for Regression and Its Application in Electric Load Forecasting of Energy System
    Wang, Rui
    Xia, Xiaoyi
    Li, Yanping
    Cao, Wenming
    FRONTIERS IN ENERGY RESEARCH, 2021, 9
  • [50] Fuzzy systems application to electric short-term load forecasting: Part I - Problem formulation
    Al-Kandari, AM
    Soliman, SA
    El-Hawary, ME
    LESCOPE'03 : 2003 LARGE ENGINEERING SYSTEMS CONFERENCE ON POWER ENGINEERING, CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS: ENERGY FOR THE FUTURE, 2003, : 125 - 130
12345