Branching process model in epidemiology

被引：0
|
作者：
Stoklasova, Radmila [1 ]
机构：
[1] Silesian Univ Opava, Sch Business Adm Karvina, Dept Math Methods Econ, Karvina 73340, Czech Republic
来源：
MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN ECONOMICS 2013, PTS I AND II | 2013年
关键词：
Epidemiology; modeling; classical epidemiological model; time series analysis; seasonal decomposition; Box-Jenkinson time series model;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
This paper deals with mathematical models suitable to describe spread of influenza epidemic and validates the application of these models to the data of the Health Institute in Ostrava obtained under System of health and environment monitoring in the Czech Republic for the period 2003 - 2012. The aim is to design a suitable mathematical model of the spread of flu which is valid, i.e. such that the theoretical value, which are generated by the model are sufficiently close to actual observed values and to be able to accurately predict the future value using the model.
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页码：862 / 867
页数：6
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