Factors predicting survival in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer undergoing pancreatectomy with arterial resection

被引:15
|
作者
Napoli, Niccolo [5 ]
Kauffmann, Emanuele [5 ]
Cacace, Concetta [5 ]
Menonna, Francesca [5 ]
Caramella, Davide [1 ]
Cappelli, Carla [1 ]
Campani, Daniela [2 ]
Cacciato Insilla, Andrea [2 ]
Vasile, Enrico [3 ]
Vivaldi, Caterina [3 ]
Fornaro, Lorenzo [3 ]
Amorese, Gabriella [4 ]
Vistoli, Fabio [5 ]
Boggi, Ugo [5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Pisa, Azienda Osped Univ Pisana, Div Radiol, Pisa, Italy
[2] Univ Pisa, Azienda Osped Univ Pisana, Div Pathol, Pisa, Italy
[3] Univ Pisa, Azienda Osped Univ Pisana, Div Oncol, Pisa, Italy
[4] Univ Pisa, Azienda Osped Univ Pisana, Div Anesthesia & Intens Care, Pisa, Italy
[5] Univ Pisa, Azienda Osped Univ Pisana, Div Gen & Transplant Surg, Pisa, Italy
关键词
Locally advanced pancreatic cancer; Pancreatic cancer; Pancreatectomy; Arterial resection; Vascular resection; Prognostic score; INTERNATIONAL STUDY-GROUP; TO-LYMPHOCYTE RATIO; CLINICAL-USEFULNESS; R1; RESECTION; SURGERY; CA125; COMPLICATIONS; CHEMOTHERAPY; METAANALYSIS; METASTASIS;
D O I
10.1007/s13304-020-00883-7
中图分类号
R61 [外科手术学];
学科分类号
摘要
Pancreatectomy with arterial resection is a treatment option in selected patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer. This study aimed to identify factors predicting cancer-specific survival in this patient population. A single-Institution prospective database was used. Pre-operative prognostic factors were identified and used to develop a prognostic score. Matching with pathologic parameters was used for internal validation. In a patient population with a median Ca 19.9 level of 19.8 U/mL(IQR: 7.1-77), cancer-specific survival was predicted by: metabolic deterioration of diabetes (OR = 0.22,p = 0.0012), platelet count (OR = 1.00;p = 0.0013), serum level of Ca 15.3 (OR = 1.01,p = 0.0018) and Ca 125 (OR = 1.02,p = 0.00000137), neutrophils-to-lymphocytes ratio (OR = 1.16;p = 0.00015), lymphocytes-to-monocytes ratio (OR = 0.88;p = 0.00233), platelets-to-lymphocytes ratio (OR = 0.99;p = 0.00118), and FOLFIRINOX neoadjuvant chemotherapy (OR = 0.57;p = 0.00144). A prognostic score was developed and three risk groups were identified. Harrell's C-Index was 0.74. Median cancer-specific survival was 16.0 months (IQR: 12.3-28.2) for the high-risk group, 24.7 months (IQR: 17.6-33.4) for the intermediate-risk group, and 39.0 months (IQR: 22.7-NA) for the low-risk group (p = 0.0003). Matching the three risk groups against pathology parameters, N2 rate was 61.9, 42.1, and 23.8% (p = 0.04), median value of lymph-node ratio was 0.07 (IQR: 0.05-0.14), 0.04 (IQR:0.02-0.07), and 0.03 (IQR: 0.01-0.04) (p = 0.008), and mean value of logarithm odds of positive nodes was - 1.07 +/- 0.5, - 1.3 +/- 0.4, and - 1.4 +/- 0.4 (p = 0.03), in the high-risk, intermediate-risk, and low-risk groups, respectively. An online calculator is available at. The prognostic factors identified in this study predict cancer-specific survival in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer and low Ca 19.9 levels undergoing pancreatectomy with arterial resection.
引用
收藏
页码:233 / 249
页数:17
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