Spatiotemporal effects of climate factors on childhood hand, foot, and mouth disease: a case study using mixed geographically and temporally weighted regression models

被引:16
|
作者
Hong, Zhimin [1 ,2 ]
Mei, Changlin [3 ]
Wang, Huhu [1 ,4 ]
Du, Wala [5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Inner Mongolia Univ Technol, Sch Sci, Dept Math, Hohhot, Peoples R China
[2] Inner Mongolia Key Lab Stat Anal Theory Life Data, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, Peoples R China
[3] Xian Polytech Univ, Sch Sci, Dept Finance & Stat, Xian, Peoples R China
[4] Inner Mongolia Autonomous Reg Ctr Dis Control & P, Inst Infect Dis & Endem Dis Control, Hohhot, Peoples R China
[5] Ecol & Agr Meteorol Ctr Inner Mongolia Autonomous, Dept Remote Sensing, Hohhot, Peoples R China
[6] Inner Mongolia Normal Univ, Coll Geog Sci, Dept Surveying & Mapping & Geog Informat, Hohhot, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Hand; foot; mouth disease; geographically and temporally weighted regression; bootstrap test; spatiotemporal heterogeneity; climate factor;
D O I
10.1080/13658816.2021.1882681
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a global infectious disease severely threatening children's health. It has been recognized that climate factors play an important role in the transmission of HFMD. In this paper, the bootstrap test in the geographically weighted regression (GWR) literature is extended to geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) models for identifying homogeneous explanatory variables and spatiotemporally heterogeneous ones. The resulting mixed GTWR model is then used to investigate spatiotemporal effect of climate factors on the HFMD incidence in Inner Mongolia, China, a provincial autonomous region with extensive area and different climatic conditions. The results demonstrate that the effect of relative humidity is global over space and time, while that of air temperature, air pressure and wind speed varies spatiotemporally. The extended bootstrap test provides a solid statistical basis for model selection. The findings from the study may provide not only a deep understanding of spatiotemporal variation characteristics of the climatic effect on the HFMD incidence, but also some useful evidences for taking measures of the disease prevention and control at the county level in different seasons.
引用
收藏
页码:1611 / 1633
页数:23
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