Digital Society Future Transformation Perspectives in the Informational Age

被引:0
|
作者
Minchev, Zlatogor [1 ]
机构
[1] Bulgarian Acad Sci, Inst ICT, IT Secur Dept, Sofia, Bulgaria
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”;
关键词
digital transformation; digital transcendents; advanced foresight framework; future trends dynamics; mixed reality assessment;
D O I
10.1109/dessert50317.2020.9125057
中图分类号
TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Understanding the digital society transformation is a rather fascinated challenge, especially for the future. This naturally, provokes numerous tangible and intangible assets that have to be properly handled in order to catch the right social dynamic trends direction. This however is also requiring an agile & holistic study approach towards a resilient future. In this sense, the idea of the present work is to briefly outline a comprehensive study on the problem, organized in the last few years. The results are mostly based on crowdsourcing analysis, encompassing more than hundred expert beliefs from about fifty countries, spread among five continents throughout the world. Both matrix-based morphological scenario planning and dynamic system-of-systems risk vs utility assessments are implemented in the analytical process. The obtained results are further validated, using pseudo-periodic stochastic probability assessment and verified via simulated mixed reality experiments with human factor active multimodal role. Being somewhat prognostic, the presented findings are not claiming for total comprehensiveness, but rather for producing a fruitful analytical pool with some useful recommendations that will be finally understand when the forecasted period is reached.
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页码:381 / 388
页数:8
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