Chinese construction cost level forecasting based on vector auto-regression theory

被引:0
|
作者
Shang Mei [1 ]
Li Yongqing [1 ]
机构
[1] Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Management, Xian, Peoples R China
关键词
construction cost level; vector auto-regression; forecast;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Based on Vector Auto-regression theory, VAR(2) model with variables of construction cost, number of large & medium construction projects in progress, number of construction companies, unemployment rate of the town and city, amount of M2 supply and number of large & medium construction projects completed is established, based on which, the co-integration relationship among these variables is analyzed, vector error correction model is established and national construction cost is forecast.
引用
收藏
页码:525 / 529
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Analysis of Relevant Factors Influencing the Development of Pharmacist Human Resources in China: Based on the Time Series Vector Auto-Regression Model
    Guo, Wei
    Zhang, Han
    Lin, Yan Quan
    Wu, Gang
    Li, Wei
    Zhang, Peng
    Tang, Wan
    Chen, Hong Dou
    Chen, Hong Dou
    Tang, Wan
    RISK MANAGEMENT AND HEALTHCARE POLICY, 2025, 18 : 505 - 515
  • [32] Air pollution forecasting for Tehran city using Vector Auto Regression
    Gholamzadeh, Fatemeh
    Bourbour, Sara
    2020 6TH IRANIAN CONFERENCE ON SIGNAL PROCESSING AND INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS (ICSPIS), 2020,
  • [33] Forecasting river flow in the USA: A comparison between Auto-Regression and Neural Network non-parametric models
    Computer Science Department, Al-Balqa Applied University, Ajlune College, Al-Salt, Jordan
    不详
    不详
    WSEAS Trans. Comput., 2007, 1 (189-194):
  • [34] Recognition of NEMP and LEMP signals based on auto-regression model and artificial neutral network
    Li P.
    Song L.
    Han C.
    Zheng Y.
    Cao B.
    Li X.
    Zhang X.
    Liang R.
    Qiangjiguang Yu Lizishu/High Power Laser and Particle Beams, 2010, 22 (12): : 3052 - 3056
  • [35] A Novel Approach Based on Support Vector Machine to Forecasting the Construction Project Cost
    Kong, Feng
    Wu, Xiao-juan
    Cai, Li-ya
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2008 INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE AND DESIGN, VOL 1, 2008, : 21 - 24
  • [36] Settlement Prediction for Buildings Surrounding Foundation Pits Based on a Stationary Auto-regression Model
    TIAN, Lin-ya
    HUA, Xi-sheng
    Journal of China University of Mining and Technology, 2007, 17 (01): : 78 - 81
  • [37] Water quality time series prediction based on Markov switching auto-regression model
    Niu, Jun-Yi
    Feng, Ping
    Jilin Daxue Xuebao (Diqiu Kexue Ban)/Journal of Jilin University (Earth Science Edition), 2010, 40 (03): : 657 - 664
  • [38] Algorithm for Fast Monoexponential Fitting Based on Auto-Regression on Linear Operations (ARLO) of Data
    Pei, Mengchao
    Nguyen, Thanh D.
    Thimmappa, Nanda D.
    Salustri, Carlo
    Dong, Fang
    Cooper, Mitch A.
    Li, Jianqi
    Prince, Martin R.
    Wang, Yi
    MAGNETIC RESONANCE IN MEDICINE, 2015, 73 (02) : 843 - 850
  • [39] Evolution of the Relationship between Population Scale and Economy Development in China-Co-Integration Analysis and Vector Error Correct Model Based on Vector Auto-Regression
    Du Benfeng
    Wang Wenlong
    CONTEMPORARY INNOVATION AND DEVELOPMENT IN STATISTICAL SCIENCE, 2012, : 597 - 607
  • [40] S-REITS' PERFORMANCE FORECAST USING A SMALL SAMPLE MODEL ASSOCIATING SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE WITH VECTOR AUTO-REGRESSION MODEL
    Wang, Xianning
    Xiao, Xue
    Xiao, Zhi
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INNOVATIVE COMPUTING INFORMATION AND CONTROL, 2016, 12 (01): : 15 - 40