Analysis and Characterization of Risk Methodologies Applied to Industrial Parks

被引:6
|
作者
Folch-Calvo, Martin [1 ]
Brocal-Fernandez, Francisco [2 ]
Gonzalez-Gaya, Cristina [1 ]
Sebastian, Miguel A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nacl Educ Distancia, Mfg & Construct Engn Dept, Madrid 28040, Spain
[2] Univ Alicante, Dept Phys, Alicante 03690, Spain
关键词
dynamic risk assessment; standard procedure; domino effect; risk management; industrial park; Bayesian inference; HUMAN RELIABILITY-ANALYSIS; DYNAMIC RISK; BAYESIAN NETWORK; SAFETY BARRIERS; PERFORMANCE INDICATORS; PROTECTION ANALYSIS; PETROLEUM-INDUSTRY; DOMINO SCENARIOS; CASCADING EVENTS; DECISION-MAKING;
D O I
10.3390/su12187294
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
It is important to evaluate the risks in industrial parks and their processes due to the consequences of major accidents and especially the domino effect. Scientific works present a wide possibility of models to deal with these situations. In this work, based on the information extracted from the scientific literature, six groups of risk methodologies are defined, analyzed, and characterized with methods that cover the standards, preventive, probabilistic, traditional, modern, and dynamic evaluation that are applied or could be used in industrial parks. It also tries to achieve the objective of determining which are more appropriate if the possible situations and causes that can produce an accident are taken into account, identifying and evaluating them with characteristics of simultaneity and immediacy, determining the probability of an accident occurring with sufficient advance in time to avoid it under the use of a working operational procedure. There is no definitive methodology, and it is necessary that they complement each other, but considering the proposed objective, the integrated application of traditional methodologies together with the management of safety barriers, the dynamic evaluation of risks, and the inclusion of machine learning systems could fulfill the proposed objective.
引用
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页数:28
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