In this article, we apply the innovation regime-switching model, recently proposed by Kuan et al. (2005, JBES), to identify turbulent and calm regimes in stock prices. Based on the predictions of both regimes, we construct simple trading rules and investigate their profitability. Our results suggest that the proposed trading rules outperform the buy-and-hold strategy.
机构:
Asia Univ, Dept Finance, Taichung 41354, Taiwan
China Med Univ, China Med Univ Hosp, Dept Med Res, Taichung 40402, TaiwanAsia Univ, Dept Finance, Taichung 41354, Taiwan