In this article, we apply the innovation regime-switching model, recently proposed by Kuan et al. (2005, JBES), to identify turbulent and calm regimes in stock prices. Based on the predictions of both regimes, we construct simple trading rules and investigate their profitability. Our results suggest that the proposed trading rules outperform the buy-and-hold strategy.
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Li, Jianping
Yao, Yanzhen
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Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Yao, Yanzhen
Chen, Yibing
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Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Natl Council Social Secur Fund, Beijing 100032, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chen, Yibing
Lee, Cheng-Few
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机构:
Rutgers State Univ, Dept Finance & Econ, New Brunswick, NJ 08854 USAChinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China