Real estate listings and their usefulness for hedonic regressions

被引:22
|
作者
Kolbe, Jens [1 ]
Schulz, Rainer [2 ]
Wersing, Martin [2 ]
Werwatz, Axel [1 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Berlin, Inst Econ & Business Law, Chair Econometr & Business Stat, Str 17 Juni 135, D-10623 Berlin, Germany
[2] Univ Aberdeen, Business Sch, Edward Wright Bldg,Dunbar St, Aberdeen AB24 3QY, Scotland
关键词
Hedonic modelling; Nowcasting; Price prediction; Stochastic dominance; NONPARAMETRIC-ESTIMATION; SEMIPARAMETRIC METHOD; PRICE; AMENITIES; VALUATION; SEARCH; MODELS; VALUES; MARKET; POWER;
D O I
10.1007/s00181-020-01992-3
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Real estate platforms provide a new source of data which has already been used as a substitute for transaction data in hedonic regression applications. This paper asks whether it is valid to do so in the established research areas of (1) willingness to pay estimation, (2) automated valuations, and (3) price index construction. It therefore compares listings and transaction data and regression results derived from them. We find that ask prices stochastically dominate sale prices, mainly because the composition of characteristics differs between the two data sets. But estimates of implicit prices also differ. As a result, willingness to pay estimates from listings data can be widely off when compared with estimates from transaction data. Listings data are not very useful to predict market values of individual houses either, as these predictions suffer from upward bias and large error variance. We find, however, that an ask price index complements a sale price index, as it is useful for nowcasting.
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页码:3239 / 3269
页数:31
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