Modified SEIR model for prediction of COVID-19 outbreak trend in India with effectiveness of preventive care

被引：4

作者：

Kumar, Sanjay ^{[1
]}

Kumar, Vineet ^{[2
]}

Awasthi, Uday ^{[3
]}

Vatsal, Manu ^{[4
]}

Singh, Sanjay Kumar ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Inst Technol, Dept Elect Engn, Jalandhar 144011, Punjab, India

[2] Natl Inst Technol, Dept Elect Engn, Hamirpur 177005, Himachal Prades, India

[3] Maharishi Markandeshwar Univ, Dept Anaesthesiol, Med Coll, Solan 173229, Himachal Prades, India

[4] Natl Inst Technol, Dept Chem, Hamirpur 177005, Himachal Prades, India

[5] Amity Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Jaipur 303002, Rajasthan, India

来源：

JOURNAL OF STATISTICS AND MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS | 2021年 / 24卷 / 01期

关键词：

COVID-19; Epidemic; Prediction; SEIR; Model; Ode45; solver;

D O I：

10.1080/09720510.2020.1833463

中图分类号：

O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];

学科分类号：

020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;

摘要：

The outbreak of COVID 19 among community is a threat to society. The world is still looking for its vaccine in the market due to rapid growth in positive cases. The shutdown of essential service in global market due to COVID-19 has produced a threat to economic security and society growth. In present study, SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious and Recovered) model using ode45 solver has been developed for prediction of number of COVID-19 cases that could possibly be there in India in next 227 days. The impact of COVID-19 cases with and without and preventive care has been predicted with proposed model. The effect of reproductive number (R) in respect to preventive care has also been analysed.

引用

页码：135 / 145

页数：11

共 50 条

[1] Trend and prediction of COVID-19 outbreak in Iran: SEIR and ANFIS model
Shafiekhani, Sajad
Khalilabad, Touraj Harati
Rafiei, Sima
Sadeghi, Vahid
Jafari, Amir Homayoun
Gheibi, Nematollah
POLISH JOURNAL OF MEDICAL PHYSICS AND ENGINEERING, 2020, 27 (03): : 241 - 249
[2] COVID-19 outbreak in India: an SEIR model-based analysis
Debashis Saikia
Kalpana Bora
Madhurjya P. Bora
Nonlinear Dynamics, 2021, 104 : 4727 - 4751
[3] COVID-19 outbreak in India: an SEIR model-based analysis
Saikia, Debashis
Bora, Kalpana
Bora, Madhurjya P.
NONLINEAR DYNAMICS, 2021, 104 (04) : 4727 - 4751
[4] Prediction for the spread of COVID-19 in India and effectiveness of preventive measures
Tomar, Anuradha
Gupta, Neeraj
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2020, 728
[5] Analysis on the Development Trend of COVID-19 Outbreak in Beijing Based on the Cluster Analysis and SEIR Model
Jiang, Mingming
Zu, Longhui
Li, Zhaolin
Zhao, Zhihuan
Pan, Yingyu
Liu, Weili
Yang, Shuolin
2020 CHINESE AUTOMATION CONGRESS (CAC 2020), 2020, : 6203 - 6207
[6] Control of COVID-19 outbreak using an extended SEIR model
McQuade, Sean T.
Weightman, Ryan
Merrill, Nathaniel J.
Yadav, Aayush
Trelat, Emmanuel
Allred, Sarah R.
Piccoli, Benedetto
MATHEMATICAL MODELS & METHODS IN APPLIED SCIENCES, 2021, 31 (12): : 2399 - 2424
[7] Modified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions
Yang, Zifeng
Zeng, Zhiqi
Wang, Ke
Wong, Sook-San
Liang, Wenhua
Zanin, Mark
Liu, Peng
Cao, Xudong
Gao, Zhongqiang
Mai, Zhitong
Liang, Jingyi
Liu, Xiaoqing
Li, Shiyue
Li, Yimin
Ye, Feng
Guan, Weijie
Yang, Yifan
Li, Fei
Luo, Shengmei
Xie, Yuqi
Liu, Bin
Wang, Zhoulang
Zhang, Shaobo
Wang, Yaonan
Zhong, Nanshan
He, Jianxing
JOURNAL OF THORACIC DISEASE, 2020, 12 (03) : 165 - +
[8] Bayesian Inference for COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics in India Using a Modified SEIR Model
Yin, Kai
Mondal, Anirban
Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial
Banerjee, Paromita
Huang, Qimin
Gurarie, David
MATHEMATICS, 2022, 10 (21)
[9] COVID-19 Spreading Prediction with Enhanced SEIR Model
Ma, Yixiao
Xu, Zixuan
Wu, Ziwei
Bai, Yong
2020 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING (ICAICE 2020), 2020, : 383 - 386
[10] Predicting COVID-19 outbreak in India using modified SIRD model
Shringi, Sakshi
Sharma, Harish
Rathie, Pushpa v
Bansal, Jagdish Chand
Nagar, Atulya
Suthar, Daya Lal
APPLIED MATHEMATICS IN SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, 2024, 32 (01):

← 1 2 3 4 5 →